I have been reporting on this for the past two years. You will see politicians make false claims like “well other than homicides, violent crime is down.”
Only reported violent crime is down.
You have to look at the two things that always get reported. Homicide and auto theft.
— National Conservative (@NatCon2022) June 15, 2023
Data is from the San Francisco Police Department:
San Francisco Homicide:
2019: 41 (879k, 4.7 per 100k)
2020: 48 (870k, 5.5 per 100k)
2021: 56 (815k, 6.9 per 100k)
2022: 56 (808k, 6.9 per 100k)
The San Francisco homicide rate increased 47% from 2019 to 2022, with total homicides increasing 37%. However, the overall reported violent crimes declined 14% during the same time period.
2023: Homicides up 10% over same time period from 2022, but overall reported violent crimes are only up 4%.
San Francisco Motor Vehicle Theft:
2019: 4,449
2020: 6,101
2021: 6,082
2022: 6,322
Between 2019 and 2022, motor vehicle thefts increased by 42% but overall reported property crimes only increased by 17%.
2023: Motor vehicle theft is up 5% over same time period in 2022, but overall reported property crimes are down 8%.
Homicide and motor vehicle theft are always going to be your most reliable metrics.
